Intro to Probability - Homework Assignment 9

Please solve the problems and type the solutions up using LateX and the template provided. Naming instructions for the file you will submit are contained in the file itself. Please justify your answers and don't simply give the answer.

Problem 1

Compute $E[X^2]$ for an exponential random variable $X$ with parameter $ \lambda$.

Problem 2

A bus travels between the two cities A and B, which are 100 miles apart. If the bus has a breakdown, the distance from the breakdown to city A has a uniform distribution over $(0,100)$. There is a bus service station in city A, in B, and in the center of the route between A and B. It is suggested that it would be more efficient to have the three stations located 25, 50, and 75 miles, respectively, from A. Do you agree? Why?

Problem 3

A man aiming at a target receives 10 points if his shot is within 1 inch of the target, 5 points if it is between 1 and 3 inches of the target, and 3 points if it is between 3 and 5 inches of the target. Find the expected number of points scored if the distance from the shot to the target is uniformly distributed between 0 and 10.

Problem 4

In 10,000 independent tosses of a coin, the coin landed on heads 5800 times. Is it reasonable to assume that the coin is not fair?

Problem 5

A model for the movement of a stock supposes that if the present price of the stock is $s$, then, after one period, it will be either $us$ with probability $p$ or $ds$ with probability $1-p$. Assuming that successive movements are independent, approximate the probability that the stock's price will be up at least 30% after the next 1000 periods if $u=1.012$, $d=0.990$, and $p=0.52$.

Problem 6

If $X$ is uniformly distributed over $(0,1)$, find the density function of $Y=e^X$.

Problem 7

Define a collection of events $E_a$ for $0<a<1$, having the property that $P(E_a)=1$ for all a but $$ P \bigl( \bigcap _a E_a\bigr) =0. $$

Problem 8

Let $X$ be a random variable that takes on values between $0$ and $c$. That is, $P(0\leq X\leq c)=1$. Show that $$ \operatorname{Var}(X)\leq \frac{c^2}{4} $$

Problem 9

If $X$ is an exponential random variable with mean $1/\lambda$, show that $$ E[X^k]=\frac{k!}{\lambda^k},\: k=1,2,\dots $$

Problem 10

If $X$ is an exponential random variable with parameter $ \lambda$, and $c>0$, show that $cX$ is exponential with parameter $ \lambda/c$.