MGSC Website: http://math.uci.edu/~mgsc/
Credit ratings have been an important variable in the measurement and management of credit risk. In this talk I will present a Markovian model of credit risk that takes into account an individual's migration between different credit ratings. I will also discuss the portfolio case and introduce a model for the correlation that takes place in a portfolio. I will present a way of measuring the associated Value at Risk and using it to set interest rates. Finally, I will present some results using data.
Ali is a 5th year graduate student at UC Irvine. He obtained his B.S. and M.S. in Mathematics from UC Irvine. Ali enjoys road trips with his wife and 9.5 month old son.
Knut Solna and Patrick Guidotti are Ali's advisors.
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Pizza will be served after the talk.